Research

Working Papers

Consumer Sentiment Inequality and the Relative Performance of Firms

  • Best Paper Award in Asset Pricing, Investment, and Financial Technology-The 8th Vietnam International Conference in Finance (VICIF 2024)

This study demonstrates that changes in sentiment inequality (SI), defined as the difference in consumer sentiment between high- and low-income groups, can predict the performance of high-end versus low-end product firms. We illustrate this with a case study of how variations in SI can predict the comparative performance of casual dining versus fast-food companies. Across the economy, our hypothesis and evidence suggest that cyclical firms serving higher-income groups outperform or underperform non-cyclical firms following SI increases or decreases, respectively. Additionally, an increase in SI indicates a rise in market return, reinforcing SI's predictive value for macroeconomic dynamics.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4386368

Can a Political Leader Influence Corporate Practices?

Work in Progress

Gender Diversity and Consensus Forecast Accuracy